Essex Provides 2010 Guidance
Thursday, February 04, 2010 5:51:32 PM ET Essex Property Trust, Inc., (ESS ) a real estate investment
trust ("REIT") with apartment communities located in targeted West
Coast markets, announced today 2010 estimates for Earnings per Share
("EPS") and Funds from Operations ("FFO") per diluted share. For the
year ended December 31, 2010, the Company estimates that EPS will
range from $0.80 to $1.10 per diluted share and FFO will range from
$4.60 to $4.90 per diluted share.
The Companys 2010 forecast for the national economy assumes the
return of growth, with estimated United States GDP growth of 2.0% and
non-farm employment increase of 500,000 jobs. For the Companys
portfolio located in selected West Coast markets, the 2010 forecast
assumes minimal new housing supply of 0.3% of multifamily stock and
0.1% of single family stock, modest job growth of 0.4%, and market
occupancy rates between 94% and 95%.
Property Operations
For 2010, the Company expects market rents to be flat for its
markets, followed by strengthening conditions beginning in 2011. The
annual outlook for market rents is based on a gradual decline the
first half of 2010, followed by a slow recovery in the second half of
the year. The on-going delivery and absorption of newly developed
rental projects that were started in recent years will continue to
pressure rent for most of 2010, followed by the Companys expectation
for extremely low levels of new housing supply.
The Companys 2010 guidance is based on the following projected
changes in same-property revenues, expressed as a percentage change
compared to its actual 2009 results:
Revenues
-------------
Southern California -4% to -5%
Northern California -5% to -6%
Seattle Metro -9% to -11%
The midpoint of the Companys 2010 total same-property portfolio
revenues guidance is forecasted to be a decline of -5.5% compared to
actual 2009 results. This projection is based on a decrease in
occupancy of 1%, as compared to the industry-leading occupancy rates
of 97% that were reported in 2009. In addition, the Companys
same-property revenue projection considers that scheduled or
"in-place" rents exceed market rents by approximately 3.8% at
December 31, 2009, and that other income will decline in 2010 due to
our expectation for lower levels of lease-break fees given a more
stable economic outlook for 2010.
The 2010 guidance for same-property portfolio operating expenses is
forecasted to be between zero and a 1.0% increase, with a decline in
the same-property portfolio net operating income between -8.5% and
-9.5% compared to actual 2009 results.
The projected 2010 non-revenue generating capital expenditures that
are needed to extend the useful life of the Companys apartment
communities are estimated at $1,100 per unit.
Acquisitions & Dispositions
The 2010 acquisition plan targets the purchase of up to $300 million
of real estate, to be financed from the dispositions of up to $100
million in real estate, joint venture capital, cash and marketable
securities, and a combination of equity and debt.
Development & Redevelopment
In 2010, the Company expects to incur approximately $70 million of
development costs on its balance sheet. Three development projects
will be in lease-up during 2010. Two of these communities (Fourth &
U in Berkeley, California and Joule Broadway in Seattle, Washington),
will commence lease-up activities in April 2010, and DuPont Lofts in
Irvine, California will commence lease-up activities in June 2010.
The Company expects that property operating expenses needed to
achieve stabilization for the three development projects being
leased-up and the cessation of capitalizing interest will result in
non-recurring charges to FFO of approximately $4 million to $5
million in 2010. The 2010 guidance also assumes the acquisition and
lease-up of a condominium project that the Company will operate as an
apartment community that will result in non-recurring charges to FFO
of an additional $3 million to $5 million.
Approximately $30 million will be invested in redevelopment
activities during 2010. The average yield from the redevelopment
program is estimated at 8% to 10% (redevelopment related net
operating income increases divided by incremental redevelopment
costs).
In 2010, development and redevelopment activities will be funded by
the Companys lines of credit and construction loans. The Company
expects to capitalize $11 million to $12 million of interest cost on
the development pipeline.
Other estimates used in providing 2010 guidance include:
-- Interest cost (including amortization of loan fees) of approximately
$86 million, net of capitalized interest assuming an average borrowing
cost of 5.5%. The net interest cost assumes net incremental proceeds of
$50 million from new long-term financing and the refinance of maturing
obligations.
-- Corporate general and administrative ("G&A") expenses of approximately
$23 million.
-- Interest and other income of approximately $13 million is expected to
be generated from marketable securities, cash balances, and external
growth activities.
-- Gains from the sale of marketable securities are expected to generate
approximately $5 million of FFO during the first quarter of 2010.
-- Management fee revenue from Fund II of $3.5 million.
-- Weighted average shares of common stock outstanding estimated at 31.3
million shares.
Essex Property Trust, Inc., located in Palo Alto, California and
traded on the New York Stock Exchange (ESS), is a fully integrated
real estate investment trust ("REIT") that acquires, develops,
redevelops, and manages apartment communities in selected West Coast
communities. The Company currently has ownership interests in 133
apartment communities 27,248 units, and has 581 units in various
stages of active development. Additional information about the
Company can be found on the Companys web site at
www.essexpropertytrust.com. If you would like to receive future press
releases via e-mail-please send a request to
investors@essexpropertytrust.com.
Forward-Looking Statements: The statements, which are not historical
facts, contained in this release are forward-looking statements
including statements regarding the Companys beliefs and expectations
relating to 2010 annual per diluted share GAAP earnings and FFO; 2010
same property net operating income; 2010 interest expense; apartment
market conditions; 2010 same-property operations; 2010 operating
expenses; 2010 non-revenue generating capital expenditures; 2010
disposition activities; 2010 equity capital transactions; 2010
development and redevelopment activities, costs and yields; 2010 G&A
expenses; first quarter other income; 2010 management fee revenue;
the weighted average shares outstanding; growth in GDP and non-farm
employment; and 2009 interest rates and costs and refinancing. These
forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which
could cause actual results to differ materially from such
forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, change in
the Companys strategy, downturns in the real estate markets in which
the Company owns properties, the effect of changes in economic
conditions, the effect of changes in interest rates, the impact of
competition and competitive pricing, the results of financing
efforts, and other risks detailed in the Companys SEC filings. All
forward-looking statements and reasons why results may differ
included in this press release are made as of the date hereof, and we
assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statement or
reason why actual results may differ. For more details relating to
risks and uncertainties that could actual results to differ
materially from those anticipated in our forward-looking statements,
please refer to our SEC filings, including our Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2008.
Contact:
Nicole Culbertson
(650) 849-1649
SOURCE: Essex Property Trust, Inc.